Kalshi Markets

Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099? Probability

50.0%

Who will the next Pope be? Probability

50.0%

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? Probability

50.0%

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? Probability

50.0%

When will a supervolcano next erupt? Probability

50.0%

Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? Probability

50.0%

Will become President of the United States before 2045? Probability

50.0%

Will Ding Xuexiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? Probability

50.0%

Will become President of the United States before 2045? Probability

50.0%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Probability

50.0%

Will Prime Minister of Canada be the first to leave office? Probability

50.0%

Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? Probability

50.0%

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Probability

50.0%

When will nuclear fusion be achieved? Probability

50.0%

Will Deel or Rippling IPO first? Probability

50.0%

Will experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035? Probability

50.0%

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035? Probability

50.0%

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? Probability

50.0%

Who will perform the next James Bond Song? Probability

50.0%

Will Johnny Depp be casted in the next Pirates of the Caribbean? Probability

50.0%

Will Britain Restoring Underlying Values ("BRUV") win a seat in the next U.K. general election? Probability

50.0%

Will William Ruto leave office next in this set? Probability

50.0%

Will Ryan Gosling be casted in the next Miami Vice? Probability

50.0%

Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033? Probability

50.0%

Will the EU meet its climate goals? Probability

50.0%

Will India meet its climate goals? Probability

50.0%

Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House? Probability

50.0%

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? Probability

50.0%

Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2026? Probability

50.0%

Will the US meet its climate goals? Probability

50.0%

When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released? Probability

50.0%

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? Probability

50.0%

Will Tom Cruise be cast in a Film With Ana de Armas? Probability

50.0%

Will Glen Powell be cast in the next Indiana Jones movie? Probability

50.0%

Will a Canadian team win the pro hockey championship by the end of the 2030 season? Probability

50.0%

Will Max Verstappen announce his retirement before the 2027 F1 season? Probability

50.0%

Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? Probability

50.0%

EV market share in 2030? Probability

50.0%

How high will unemployment get before 2030? Probability

50.0%

Will Margot Robbie perform as Britney Spears in Britney Spears Biopic directed by Jon M. Chu? Probability

50.0%

Will Peter Dinklage perform as Villain in the next James Bond film? Probability

50.0%

Will Ben Whishaw perform as Q in the next James Bond film? Probability

50.0%

Will Naomie Harris perform as Moneypenny in the next James Bond film? Probability

50.0%

Will Ralph Fiennes perform as M in the next James Bond film? Probability

50.0%

Will Wyatt Russell perform as Felix Leiter in the next James Bond film? Probability

50.0%

Will Sydney Sweeney perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film? Probability

50.0%

When will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers? Probability

50.0%

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030? Probability

50.0%

When will A Court Of Thorns and Roses be released? Probability

50.0%

Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire? Probability

50.0%