Kalshi Markets

Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099? Probability

50.0%

Who will the next Pope be? Probability

50.0%

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? Probability

50.0%

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? Probability

50.0%

When will a supervolcano next erupt? Probability

50.0%

Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? Probability

50.0%

Will become President of the United States before 2045? Probability

50.0%

Will Ben Wikler be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? Probability

50.0%

Will Ding Xuexiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? Probability

50.0%

Will become President of the United States before 2045? Probability

50.0%

Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Probability

50.0%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Probability

50.0%

Will Prime Minister of Canada be the first to leave office? Probability

50.0%

Which season will the New York J next make the playoffs? Probability

50.0%

Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? Probability

50.0%

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Probability

50.0%

When will nuclear fusion be achieved? Probability

50.0%

Will Deel or Rippling IPO first? Probability

50.0%

How many golf major championships will Miles Russell win before 2036? Probability

50.0%

How many golf major championships will Jackson Koivun win before 2036? Probability

50.0%

Who will be the next CEO of JP Morgan Chase? Probability

50.0%

Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs? Probability

50.0%

Will experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035? Probability

50.0%

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035? Probability

50.0%

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? Probability

50.0%

Who will perform the next James Bond Song? Probability

50.0%

Will Johnny Depp be casted in the next Pirates of the Caribbean? Probability

50.0%

Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2030? Probability

50.0%

Will Britain Restoring Underlying Values ("BRUV") win a seat in the next U.K. general election? Probability

50.0%

Will William Ruto leave office next in this set? Probability

50.0%

Will Ryan Gosling be casted in the next Miami Vice? Probability

50.0%

Will the Democratic party win the Presidency in 2032? Probability

50.0%

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033? Probability

50.0%

Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033? Probability

50.0%

Will the EU meet its climate goals? Probability

50.0%

Will the FDA approve midomafetamine / MDMA for PTSD before Jan 1, 2027? Probability

50.0%

Will India meet its climate goals? Probability

50.0%

Will Matthew Stafford announce his retirement before the 2026-27 NFL season? Probability

50.0%

Will Mike Evans announce his retirement before the 2026-27 NFL season? Probability

50.0%

Will Lane Johnson announce his retirement before the 2026-27 NFL season? Probability

50.0%

Will Kirk Cousins announce his retirement before the 2026-27 NFL season? Probability

50.0%

Will Joe Flacco announce his retirement before the 2026-27 NFL season? Probability

50.0%

Will Derrick Henry announce his retirement before the 2026-27 NFL season? Probability

50.0%

Will Davante Adams announce his retirement before the 2026-27 NFL season? Probability

50.0%

GDP growth in 2030? Probability

50.0%

Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House? Probability

50.0%

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? Probability

50.0%

Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2026? Probability

50.0%

Will the US meet its climate goals? Probability

50.0%

When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released? Probability

50.0%