Kalshi Markets

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Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?

Will Elon Musk visit Mars before Aug 1, 2099? Probability

50.0%

$0Aug 1

KalshiCFTC

Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?

Will Klaus Iohannis be the next Secretary General of NATO? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 8

KalshiCFTC

Who will the next Pope be?

Who will the next Pope be? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?

When will a supervolcano next erupt? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?

Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?

Will become President of the United States before 2045? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 29

KalshiCFTC

Who will be the next DNC Chair?

Will Ben Wikler be the next Chair of the Democratic National Committee? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 8

KalshiCFTC

Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?

Will Ding Xuexiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?

Will become President of the United States before 2045? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 8

KalshiCFTC

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Romania?

Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Which G7 leader will leave office next?

Will Prime Minister of Canada be the first to leave office? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Kylian Mbappe Total FIFA World Cup Career Goals

Will Kylian Mbappe score at least 30 goals in the World Cup in his career? Probability

50.0%

$0Jul 28

KalshiCFTC

New York J: To Break Playoff Drought

Which season will the New York J next make the playoffs? Probability

50.0%

$0Feb 27

KalshiCFTC

Will Ramp or Brex IPO first?

Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

When will nuclear fusion be achieved? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Will Deel or Rippling IPO first?

Will Deel or Rippling IPO first? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

US real GDP growth in 2036?

GDP growth in 2036? Probability

50.0%

$0Dec 31

KalshiCFTC

US headline CPI inflation in December 2036

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2036 be above 0.0%? Probability

50.0%

$0Feb 1

KalshiCFTC

US nominal GDP growth in 2036

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2036 be above 0.0%? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 28

KalshiCFTC

Fed funds rate at end of 2036

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.00%? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

US real GDP growth in 2035?

GDP growth in 2035? Probability

50.0%

$0Feb 28

KalshiCFTC

US headline CPI inflation in December 2035

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2035 be above 0.0%? Probability

50.0%

$0Feb 1

KalshiCFTC

US nominal GDP growth in 2035

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2035 be above 0.0%? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 28

KalshiCFTC

Fed funds rate at end of 2035

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.00%? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Miles Russell: Golf Majors before 2036

How many golf major championships will Miles Russell win before 2036? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Jackson Koivun: Golf Majors before 2036

How many golf major championships will Jackson Koivun win before 2036? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Who will be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?

Who will be the next CEO of JP Morgan Chase? Probability

50.0%

$0Dec 31

KalshiCFTC

Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?

Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs? Probability

50.0%

$0Dec 31

KalshiCFTC

Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?

Will experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035? Probability

50.0%

$0Dec 30

KalshiCFTC

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035? Probability

50.0%

$0Dec 31

KalshiCFTC

US real GDP growth in 2034?

GDP growth in 2034? Probability

50.0%

$0Feb 28

KalshiCFTC

US headline CPI inflation in December 2034

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2034 be above 0.0%? Probability

50.0%

$0Feb 1

KalshiCFTC

US nominal GDP growth in 2034

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2034 be above 0.0%? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 28

KalshiCFTC

Fed funds rate at end of 2034

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.00%? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Next James Bond film: Artist performing the James Bond Theme

Who will perform the next James Bond Song? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Next Pirates of the Caribbean film: Will Johnny Depp be cast?

Will Johnny Depp be casted in the next Pirates of the Caribbean? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?

Will the FDA approve VERVE-102 before Jan 1, 2030? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?

Will Britain Restoring Underlying Values ("BRUV") win a seat in the next U.K. general election? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Which of these African leaders will leave office next?

Will William Ruto leave office next in this set? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Next Miami Vice film: Cast

Will Ryan Gosling be casted in the next Miami Vice? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

US real GDP growth in 2033?

GDP growth in 2033? Probability

50.0%

$0Feb 28

KalshiCFTC

US headline CPI inflation in December 2033

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2033 be above 0.0%? Probability

50.0%

$0Feb 1

KalshiCFTC

US nominal GDP growth in 2033

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2033 be above 0.0%? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 28

KalshiCFTC

Fed funds rate at end of 2033

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.00%? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1

KalshiCFTC

Who will host the 2038 FIFA World Cup?

Will Germany be announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup? Probability

50.0%

$0Jan 1