PolymarketLiveWho will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Current Probability
97.5%
Markets
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
97.5%Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
0.3%Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
0.3%Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
0.1%Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
1.5%Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
0.1%Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
0.1%Will Trump nominate Individual T as the next Fed chair?
50.0%Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
0.1%Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
0.1%+29 more outcomes
Description
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.